
AI has fundamentally changed how customers discover businesses. When someone asks ChatGPT for a product recommendation, or Google serves an AI Overview, your brand is either cited as the answer or invisible. This shift from ranking on search results to becoming the answer itself separates the companies thriving in 2025 from those watching their traffic evaporate.
The stakes are real. Netflix's recommendation engine drives 80% of content consumption and saves $1 billion annually in retention. Sephora's AI-powered virtual try-ons increased conversions by 11% and cut returns by 30%. Meanwhile, Chegg lost 99% of its market value when ChatGPT offered free what it charged for, and major publishers have seen organic trafficVisitors who come to a website through unpaid search engine results. drop 40-55% as AI Overviews eliminate the need to click.
This report examines both sides: the winners who've mastered AI visibility and the cautionary tales of those who haven't.
AI visibility measures how often AI systems cite, feature, or recommend your brand when users ask questions. It's the new battleground for customer discovery.
Traditional SEO aimed to rank on a list of blue links. AI visibility aims higher: become the answer itself. When someone asks ChatGPT or Google's AI Overview a question, the goal is for your brand to be the source they cite, not just a link they might click.
AI platforms now act as gatekeepers. They analyze user data, browsing history, preferences, and behavior to deliver personalized recommendations. This creates a convenient experience for users but places an opaque algorithmic layer between your business and potential customers. If the AI doesn't see you as credible and authoritative, you don't exist to the customer.
| Dimension | Traditional SEO | AI Visibility |
| Goal | Rank on list of blue links | Become the answer itself |
| Success Metric | Page ranking position | CitationA mention of a business's name, address, and phone number on other websites. frequency in AI-generated answers |
| Ranking Factors | KeywordsWords or phrases that users type into search engines to find information., backlinksLinks from other websites pointing to your website, crucial for SEO., domain authority | Credibility, authority signals, structured data, E-E-A-T |
| Content Format | Web pages optimized for crawlers | Machine-readable, structured, authoritative content |
| Discovery Mechanism | User clicks through search results | AI synthesizes an answer; the user may never visit the site |
The risk is algorithmic invisibility, disappearing from customer discovery entirely because AI doesn't deem you relevant. If you're not mentioned in an AI-generated summary, you lose presence at the exact moment customers make decisions.
The data is stark: 60% of Google searches now end without any click to a website. When AI Overviews appear, click-through rates drop to just 8%, compared to 15% for traditional results. A single AI overview can eliminate traffic to sites that previously ranked high. You're either the answer or you're invisible.
Each major AI platform has distinct citation preferences. Understanding these differences shapes where to focus your visibility efforts.
ChatGPT leans heavily on Wikipedia (47.9% of its top 10 sources) and traditional authoritative media like Reuters and Forbes. Google AI Overviews favor its own ecosystem, Reddit (21%), YouTube (18.8%), and LinkedInA professional networking site used for career and business networking., plus professional sources like Gartner. Perplexity concentrates dramatically on community-driven content, with Reddit accounting for 46.7% of top sources.
| Dimension | ChatGPT | Google AI Overviews | Perplexity |
| Top Cited Source | Wikipedia (47.9%) | Reddit (21%) | Reddit (46.7%) |
| #2 Source | Reddit (11.3%) | YouTube (18.8%) | YouTube |
| Domain Preferences | Encyclopedic/factual, traditional media | Google ecosystem, professional content | Community-driven, user-generated content |
| Content Format Favored | Authoritative, encyclopedic entries | Integration with Google properties | Community discussions, video content |
Despite Reddit's prominence in platform-wide studies, brand-controlled sources dominate when location context and query intent are applied. A Yext study of 6.8 million AI citations found 86% came from sources brands already manage: websites (44%), listings (42%), and reviews/social (8%). Forums like Reddit dropped to just 2%.
This varies by industry and AI model. Gemini favors websites (52.1%), while ChatGPT leans on business listings (48.7%). Finance brands see 48.2% of citations from owned websites. Healthcare citations come primarily from directories like WebMD (52.6%). Food service sees the highest review/social citation rate at 13.3%. The takeaway: optimize the assets you control.
Netflix's recommendation engine is the gold standard for AI-driven visibility and engagementThe interactions that users have with a brand’s content on social media.. Over 80% of content viewed on the platform comes through personalized recommendations, not search or browsing.
The system uses 1,300 recommendation clusters to match users with relevant titles from a catalog of 3,000+ options. It processes several terabytes of interaction data daily. The business impact is substantial: Netflix estimates the recommendation engine saves over $1 billion annually in customer retentionStrategies aimed at keeping existing customers engaged and encouraging repeat purchases. value. With 260 million subscribers globally, personalizationTailoring content and offers to individual users based on their behavior, preferences, or demographi... isn't a feature; it's the product.
Netflix employs a hybrid recommendation system combining multiple AI approaches. Collaborative filtering analyzes patterns among users with similar tastes, both user-based (matching similar viewers) and item-based (matching similar content). Content-based filtering examines metadataData that provides information about other data, such as its source, format, and usage.: genre, director, cast, themes, and keywords.
Deep learning refines these foundations. Personalized Video Ranking (PVR) prioritizes content based on historical viewing behavior. Reinforcement learning tests and adjusts suggestions using real-time engagement data. Netflix invested heavily in this capability; their 2006 Netflix Prize offered $1 million to anyone who could improve recommendations by 10%.
Netflix's churn rateThe percentage of customers who stop using a product or service over a given time period. hovers between 1.8 and 2.3%, among the lowest in streaming and well below the industry average of 5%. Subscribers stay for an average of 4.6 years, the longest in the industry. Customer retention sits at approximately 98.2%.
The retention economics are compelling. When subscribers cancel, 50% return within six months and 61% within a year, compared to an industry average of 34%. Lifetime subscriber value reaches $836.83 against a customer acquisition cost of $88.60, yielding nearly 10x ROI. Users who engage with recommendations are twice as likely to remain active. Personalization creates stickiness.
Sephora's AI investment transformed its digital business. E-commerce net sales grew from $580 million in 2016 to over $3 billion in 2022, a 4x increase driven largely by AI and digital innovations.
The centerpiece is Virtual Artist, launched in 2016. Customers using the tool were 3x more likely to complete purchases. ConversionThe completion of a desired action by a referred user, such as making a purchase or filling out a fo... rates increased 11%. Product returns dropped 30%. AI-powered recommendations boosted average transaction sizes by up to 30%. Across 2,700+ stores worldwide, Sephora proved that AI visibility extends beyond search; it shapes the entire customer experience.
Virtual Artist, built with ModiFace (later acquired by L'Oréal), combines augmented reality and AI to simulate real-time makeup application. Users point their phone or computer camera at their face, and AI algorithms analyze facial geometry, identifying lips, eyes, and cheekbones, then apply digital makeup with precision.
The system adjusts for skin tone and ambient lighting to enhance realism. Within two years of launch, users had tried on over 200 million shades across 8.5 million feature visits. Average app session time jumped from 3 minutes to 12 minutes. Virtual try-on usage grew nearly tenfold year-over-year. The feature works across mobile, web, and in-store kiosks, true omnichannel AI.
Personalization drives loyalty. McKinsey research shows brands offering personalized AR experiences see 20% higher customer satisfaction. Deloitte found that interactive AR can boost conversion rates by up to 40%.
Sephora's results confirm this. Repeat purchases increased significantly among Virtual Artist users. User retention improved 15% from AI-powered features. The Reservation Assistant saw 11% higher booking rates within two years. In Southeast Asia, Virtual Artist adoption grew 28%, with 16% higher usage-per-user and 48% more traffic to the feature. When AI makes the experience better, customers come back.
Spotify runs on AI-driven discovery. With 640 million monthly users, features like Discover Weekly, a 30-song playlist refreshed every Monday, generate 5+ billion streams a year and engage 40 million users weekly. Subscribers who use it are twice as likely to stay. Wrapped 2024 drove 225 million shares and 10% user growth, with users spending 50% more time in the experience.
Users who engage with Spotify’s AI features listen 140 minutes per day vs. 99 minutes for non-AI users. AI DJ is a key driver: on days people use it, 25% of their listening time goes to DJ, over half return the next day, and retention rises 15%. That engagement powers the business: AI-targeted ads are up 17% year-over-year, and premium subs grew 12% to 252 million.
Spotify treats AI as the product, not plumbing. Its systems process 500+ billion daily events through collaborative filtering, content-based filtering, NLP, and deep learning to build rich taste profiles. New features like AI voice translation for podcastsAudio content distributed through digital channels, often in series format., which preserves the host’s voice, show how deeply AI is woven into the listening experience and growth engine.
Amazon’s recommendation engine drives 35% of all purchases, a core driver of its retail dominance. Customers who engage with recommendations are far more valuable: Amazon’s bounce rateThe percentage of visitors who leave a website after viewing only one page. is 35% (vs. 50% for Walmart and 45% for Target), and 56% of those who interact with recommendations become repeat buyers. With 150M+ Prime members, this compounds into massive revenue.
Amazon uses deep learning on billions of signals, purchases, searches, scrolls, views, ratings, and reviews, to predict what customers will buy next. It blends collaborative filtering (similar users), content-based filtering (product attributes), and real-time models that adapt to changing behavior. Item-based collaborative filtering compares products directly, while language models parse descriptions and reviews to match intent more accurately.
Alongside Netflix, Amazon pioneered modern recommendation engines by surfacing items customers are likely to buy but wouldn’t find on their own. Companies using similar engines now see ~35% higher conversion rates and up to 20% sales lifts, and a recommendation market projected to grow from $5.39B (2024) to over $100B. Amazon’s system remains the template everyone else copies.
Chegg is one of the clearest examples of AI wiping out an established business model. Its stock is down 99% from 2021 highs. A company once valued at $14.5 billion is now worth roughly $100 - 156 million. On May 2, 2023, shares fell 48% in a single day after CEO Dan Rosensweig admitted ChatGPT was hurting the business. Since then, Chegg has laid off 45% of its staff and begun closing offices across the US and Canada.
Chegg built a $767 million annual business selling homework-help subscriptions, powered by a database of 79+ million solved problems that once looked like an unbeatable moat. Then ChatGPT started offering similar help for free. A stock that traded at $113 in early 2021 now trades under $1. Q2 2025 revenue fell 36% year-over-year to $105.1 million, with Q3 guided to just $75 - 77 million.
Bond markets now doubt Chegg can keep servicing its debt. A company that claimed 36% penetration among US college students saw its core model effectively evaporate in 18 months.
By Q2 2025, total subscribers had dropped 40% year-over-year to 2.6 million. Student behavior is shifting fast. A Needham survey found only 30% of students planned to use Chegg, down from 38% the prior semester, while intent to use ChatGPT jumped from 43% to 62%. Non-subscriber traffic fell 49% between January 2024 and January 2025. Students’ rationale is blunt: ChatGPT is “free, instant, and you don't have to worry if the problem is there or not.”
Chegg has attempted several AI pivots. In April 2023, it announced “CheggMate” with OpenAI’s GPT-4; by August, it had switched to Scale AI to build its own models. Analysts remain unconvinced. Morgan Stanley said AI “completely overshadowed” results, while Jefferies questioned whether Chegg can offerThe specific product or service being promoted by affiliates. an AI experience “meaningfully better than free alternatives.” New CEO Nathan Schultz now pitches Chegg as “evolving into a skills-focused organization,” but the leap from homework answers to skills training is still vague.
The company’s plan to cut $165 - 175 million in 2025 expenses looks more like a fight for survival than a path to growth.
AI Overviews are reshaping how users interact with search results, and publishers are paying the price. Zero-click searches increased from 56% to 69% between May 2024 and May 2025.
Organic search referral trafficVisitors who come to a website through an affiliate's promotional efforts. to publishers dropped from 2.3 billion US visits in July 2024 to 1.8 billion by June 2025. News searches ending without clicks jumped from 56% to nearly 69% after AI Overviews launched. Of the top 50 US news websites, 37 experienced year-over-year traffic declines in May 2025.
| Publisher | Traffic Decline | Timeframe |
| Business Insider | -55% | April 2022 to April 2025 |
| HuffPost | -50%+ | Three-year period |
| Washington Post | -50%+ | Three-year period |
| CNN | -27% to -38% | Year-over-year (2024-2025) |
| Forbes | -50% | Year-over-year (July 2025) |
| NBC News | -42% | Year-over-year |
When AI Overviews appear, click-through rates drop 46.7%. Users click on results just 8% of the time with AI summaries versus 15% without.
AI Overviews now appear in approximately 19-20% of US desktop searches. They average around 169 words and push the first organic result down to about 1,674 pixels on the page. DMG Media reports nearly 90% click declines for certain searches. The Atlantic's CEO warned staff to expect near-zero Google search traffic going forward. Publishers are pivoting to subscriptions, newsletters, and live events, channels AI can't intermediate.
Google's March 2024 update targeted low-quality AI content at scale. The goal: reduce unhelpful, unoriginal content by up to 40%.
The impact was severe. Out of 79,000 websites checked, 1,446 received manual actions. Over 800 were completely deindexed in the early stages. These sites collectively drove over 20 million monthly visits and lost an estimated $446,552+ in ad revenue. Nearly 2% of all sites on popular advertising platforms like MediaVine, Ezoic, and Raptive were deindexed.
Analysis of 200 deindexed sites and 40,000 URLs revealed a stark pattern: 100% showed signs of AI-generated content. Half had 90-100% of their posts generated by AI.
The update specifically targeted "scaled content abuse", vast amounts of content created to manipulate rankingsThe position at which a website appears in the SERP. rather than benefit users. Sites that survived shared common traits: original reporting, named author expertise, E-E-A-T alignment, human editorial oversight, structured data implementation, and content designed to help readers rather than game systems.
The gap between winners and losers comes down to strategy, not technology adoption. Both groups use AI, but for fundamentally different purposes.
Winning brands invest in:
Losing brands make these mistakes:
Effective AI visibility requires both offensive tactics to capture attention and defensive tactics to build trust.
Offensive tactics drive proactive visibility: hyper-personalization targeting individuals with real-time data, human-in-the-loop content creation that scales production while maintaining authenticity, predictive marketing that anticipates customer needs, and thought leadership through original AI-driven research that establishes authority.
Defensive tactics protect long-term positioning: transparency about AI and data use, regular algorithm bias audits, E-E-A-T content signals demonstrating expertise and trustworthiness, authentic human storytelling featuring real customers and employees, strong data governance frameworks, and human editorial oversight of all AI-driven decisions.
Winners like Netflix, Sephora, Spotify, and Amazon use AI to enhance products and experiences while humans lead strategy and judgment. Losers like Chegg and traditional publishers failed to adapt when AI disrupted their core value and distribution.
Lasting visibility comes from human-AI symbiosis: AI analyzes, automates, and personalizes; humans provide creativity, relationships, and ethics. In a world of automated content, trust and authenticity are the real moat.
Why Human-AI Balance Decides Visibility
Chegg and publishers lost when they leaned on static assets and search traffic instead of unique value and direct relationships.
The brands winning in the AI visibility era, Netflix, Sephora, Spotify, and Amazon, share a common approach: they've integrated AI to enhance authentic customer value while keeping humans at the center of strategy. Their AI systems drive 35-80% of customer engagementThe level of interaction and involvement a customer has with a brand. and significantly reduce churn, generating billions in value. Meanwhile, the casualties, such as Chegg (down 99%), major publishers (down 40-55% traffic), failed to adapt when AI disrupted their core propositions.
The lesson is clear: sustainable AI visibility requires symbiosis between human ingenuity and machine intelligence. Brands must build strong first-party data foundations, start with targeted AI implementations, and use technology to amplify rather than replace human expertise. With 86% of AI citations coming from brand-managed sources, companies that control their data control their visibility, but only if that data reflects genuine value worth citing.
Ready to see where your brand stands? Get your free AI Visibility Audit and discover how to become the answer AI recommends.
